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Quick add — the color/body candle stuff I left out of the Magic Trick miniYou're right, the MT mini covered the wick ranges and the DS-31 quadrants but skipped the color bias + body estimate. Quick fill:What it is. Every MT forecast candle has two parts the wicks don't capture: the body (the open-to-close distance, the solid part of the candle) and the color (RED = closes below open, GREEN = closes above). The MT output gives each candle a color bias with a probability (Monday: RED ~58% / GREEN ~42%) and a body-estimate (BODY-EST = ATR × a conviction-driven multiplier).Why it matters. The wicks tell you the range price tests — how far it reaches in each direction. The body + color tell you where it settles. Those are different questions. A candle can wick all the way down to $26.72 and still close green at $28.50 (long lower wick, small green body = rejection/bounce) — or it can trend hard and close red near the low (big red body = continuation). The dual-wick range alone can't distinguish those two; the color/body is what separates a deep-wick-and-recover from a close-on-the-floor. For your staging, that's the difference between a TAIL-CAPTURE fill that holds versus one that keeps bleeding.How it works. Color bias is derived from the UCWP direction (BEAR here) crossed with the DS-31 quadrant probabilities — the heavier the floor-break + wick quadrants, the stronger the RED lean (Monday's 40% FloorBreaks + 32% Wick is what drives the ~58% RED). Body-est scales ATR (7.2% ≈ $2.07 on UVXY) by a conviction multiplier, so higher-conviction directional candles project bigger bodies and the indecision/doji cases project small bodies. On Monday the small-ish body + RED ~58% with a deep lower wick is the framework saying: tests the floor hard, leans red, but the body isn't large — consistent with a floor-break probe rather than a clean trend-day close.
May 30, 2026 · 02:42 PM · 9 views
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