Back

@convexity
Convexity Life Mod Reader Trader
Mod Reader Trader
BTC below $70k. Will we see 50s or 40s? 
Is anyone here using data-driven forecasting models that estimate the probability of such price levels being reached?
Jun 02, 2026 · 07:06 AM · 11 views
0 Reposts
1 Likes
3 Replies
@dyehuthy
𓅞 Dyehuthy 𓁟 Reader FOUNDER
@dyehuthy · Jun 02, 2026 · 02:45 PM
Reader FOUNDER
For a Data-Driven Models to "Forecasting", you need more data than the historical price (OHLCV), It's important to understand this to create robust models.

What kind of other data you need?

- Macro data (e.g Inflation, Rates, etc)
- Fundamental data (Bitcoin case: Onchain Data, 4-year cycle, etc)
- Market Data (e.g Asset Class correlations, etc)

I say this because many people go straight to models to predict prices exclusively, and these types of models are more gambling than a model itself.
Reply (Edited)