Convexity Life (@convexity) | Sentiment Intelligence

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · Jun 02, 07:06 AM

@convexity Options Monastery · Jun 02, 07:06 AM

Reader Trader

BTC below $70k. Will we see 50s or 40s?
Is anyone here using data-driven forecasting models that estimate the probability of such price levels being reached?

3

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · Jun 02, 05:48 AM

@convexity Options Monastery · Jun 02, 05:48 AM

Reader Trader

BTC ≤73178 YES

BTC nearly dipped below $70k today.

@convexity reposted

SchizoMoneyApe @schizo · Jun 01, 06:38 PM

@schizo Options Monastery · Jun 01, 06:38 PM

ITA

ITA has went up over the last week, while oil went down. therefore i assume investors are pricing in Spacex IPO.

now we will have computer vision algorithms monitoring the launches and lands on the g View full post

(Edited)

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · Jun 01, 09:05 AM

@convexity Options Monastery · Jun 01, 09:05 AM

Reader Trader

SPY ≤749 NO

SPY is crushing it

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 31, 07:16 AM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 31, 07:16 AM

Reader Trader

BTC >77582 NO

Operation Blackout puts the U.S. government’s Bitcoin exposure in focus. The forfeiture case involved about 127,271 BTC, now worth roughly $9.4 billion and cited near $15 billion when DOJ filed its ac View full post

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 30, 08:59 AM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 30, 08:59 AM

Reader Trader

BTC >77582 NO

MicroStrategy’s $1.5B repurchase of its own convertible notes at an 8% discount (using cash) marks the first major buyback of its outstanding debt in the Bitcoin era. Analysts see it as a strategic sh View full post

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 29, 03:16 PM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 29, 03:16 PM

Reader Trader

Algorithmic Trading

FT Alphaville reports that quant firms are blending medium frequency and HFT strategies in the search for alpha.

open.substack.com

The big quant convergence

Also: Fantasy DMOing, AImaxxing, SpaceX, index shenanigans, prediction markets and the strange melancholy of slaying video game monsters

(Edited)

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 29, 12:08 PM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 29, 12:08 PM

Reader Trader

Commodities

The relationship between supply shortfalls, 'demand destruction' and oil prices.

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 29, 11:38 AM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 29, 11:38 AM

Reader Trader

BTC >77582 NO

On Wednesday, May 20, 2026, SpaceX revealed in its IPO filing that it holds 18,712 Bitcoin, valued at approximately $1.45 billion, confirming its position as one of the largest corporate Bitcoin holde View full post

1

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 29, 05:33 AM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 29, 05:33 AM

Reader Trader

QQQ

Michael Burry:
Yesterday I rolled my SOXX and QQQ puts at a debit, increasing my capital at risk in both cases. I executed both in roughly the same duration and strike range as previously disclosed. View full post

1

@convexity reposted

SchizoMoneyApe @schizo · May 28, 03:22 PM

@schizo Options Monastery · May 28, 03:22 PM

USO

Despite rumors of a deal, oil and metals rise. the market tries to front run the news 2 headlines ahead. this shows hows price is a lagging indicator as everyone aims to be correct much in advance.

@convexity reposted

L

Laurius_1 @laurius · May 28, 02:52 PM

@laurius · May 28, 02:52 PM

BTC

I'm checking out a new strategy called Orderflow to help me trade crypto, I'll look to combine it with liquidity zones strategy.

1

@convexity reposted

SchizoMoneyApe @schizo · May 27, 03:36 PM

@schizo Options Monastery · May 27, 03:36 PM

SLV

Silver down, doing cash secured puts my favorite strat.
Metals like that are great, you won't wake up tomorrow with gold or silver at the price of gravel so even if you get assigned it won't be at a c View full post

1

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 28, 12:51 PM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 28, 12:51 PM

Reader Trader

SOL >90 NO

Solana is at 80.98 and it resolves in 1d 7h. Implied probability of 57% seems too high? quantguild

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 28, 04:27 AM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 28, 04:27 AM

Reader Trader

SPY

A perspective.

2

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 27, 09:59 PM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 27, 09:59 PM

Reader Trader

SOXS >8 NO

Is it just me or do the oracle resolutions seem stuck?

2

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 27, 09:28 AM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 27, 09:28 AM

Reader Trader

BITU >14 YES

This was close. What time do the contracts usually resolve?

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 26, 04:26 PM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 26, 04:26 PM

Reader Trader

Off Topic

What was your favorite RPG before Discourses?

4

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 20, 09:05 PM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 20, 09:05 PM

Reader Trader

Trading Strategies

In which QuantGuild YouTube video did you learn the most and why? What was your biggest insight?

Link to

www.youtube.com

Convexity Life Reader Trader @convexity · May 20, 08:58 PM

@convexity Options Monastery · May 20, 08:58 PM

Reader Trader

TLT

30-year yields are at 20-year highs. Mortgage rates are rising. Credit card debt is at record levels. Inflation is picking up again.
It increasingly looks like the Fed is following the market, not lea View full post

polymarket.com

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$1,179,328 has traded on "Fed rate hike in 2026?" as of May 20, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Market™

4

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