Luwyn

Replying to @dyehuthy

L

Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 29, 07:32 AM

@luwyn · Jun 29, 07:32 AM

Equities

@luwyn LOL Could you imagine if you shorted Gold in Germany back in those days? LOL

Hey man, you lost over 134,344,675,354,854,454. I am going to stop just because i do not want to type more digits. … View full post

5 1

Replying to @dyehuthy

L

Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 29, 07:28 AM

@luwyn · Jun 29, 07:28 AM

Equities

This is one of the charts that I always like to refer back to when I think that prices can not go higher.

5 1

Replying to @dyehuthy

L

Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 29, 07:25 AM

@luwyn · Jun 29, 07:25 AM

Equities

Three words: Supply and Demand.

5

Replying to @dyehuthy

L

Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 29, 07:23 AM

@luwyn · Jun 29, 07:23 AM

Equities

When rates rise, the yield of debt increases. This puts more fiat currency in people's hands. People can, and eventually do, spend more currency.

People now have more fiat to buy that ETF. They have … View full post

5 1

Replying to @dyehuthy

L

Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 29, 07:18 AM

@luwyn · Jun 29, 07:18 AM

Equities

I am attempting to paraphrase here in the video. That quote, "It was startling. All of the gains of the S&P that I saw were from the money printer", and when you begin to see that link between the mar … View full post

5 1

Replying to @luwyn

L

Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 29, 06:56 AM

@luwyn · Jun 29, 06:56 AM

SMH >647 NO

To think that the market will not crush vol and creep up over the holiday week into the shortened trading schedule is a little off base.

I think my current decision of <=647 is -EV.

1

Replying to @sfx

L

Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 05, 10:46 AM

@luwyn · Jun 05, 10:46 AM

Off Topic

An interesting chart to overlay is NDX. The Nasdaq and Bitcoin were tracking very well for a very long time until Q1 2026.

The purple line is NDX. Why did the correlation stop and go negative in Q1 … View full post

3 1 (Edited)

Replying to @schizo

L

Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 05, 09:33 AM

@luwyn · Jun 05, 09:33 AM

Derivatives

When I trade ODTE, I feel like I am in an episode of the Walking Dead.

I am trapped with no escape. I got lots of bite marks! Ouch!

I hope to get better one day, but for now I must stick with 45DTE … View full post

1 1

Replying to @printmoney

L

Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 05, 08:49 AM

@luwyn · Jun 05, 08:49 AM

NVTS

I want to preface this with the fact that I am looking to buy in this space. I have few concerns that I have not been able to settle yet - in the short term of 1 to 2 years.

What would you say to th … View full post

www.msn.com

MSN

2

Replying to @convexity

L

Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 05, 08:25 AM

@luwyn · Jun 05, 08:25 AM

BTC ≤72644 YES

Probably.

When Saylor sells, it will be epic.

2 1

Replying to @dyehuthy

L

Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 05, 07:56 AM

@luwyn · Jun 05, 07:56 AM

Macroeconomics

If the 10Y note goes above 5%, I am getting out of equities to the long side with speed. As it gets closer to 4.75-5%, I will begin to close my long positions. I will start to look for short positions … View full post

3 2

Replying to @partybuddha

L

Luwyn @luwyn · May 28, 07:52 AM

@luwyn · May 28, 07:52 AM

SLV

I was personally waiting for <70 to begin building a position over coming months. I might just start the position in the low 70s.

1

Replying to @partybuddha

L

Luwyn @luwyn · May 28, 07:32 AM

@luwyn · May 28, 07:32 AM

Trading Strategies

I love the LoTR reference!

1

Replying to @convexity

L

Luwyn @luwyn · May 28, 07:24 AM

@luwyn · May 28, 07:24 AM

SPY

Once I start hearing people forget these overprices issues but say that this is the new normal for expectations:

Sell it all.
Sell it now.
Get me in cash.

Just like a bubble. I am not concerned when … View full post

2 1

Replying to @convexity

L

Luwyn @luwyn · May 28, 07:22 AM

@luwyn · May 28, 07:22 AM

SPY

This will not end well, but it will be fun until we get there.

I think that we are seeing an image of the weighing machine of the market that we will experience in the future but not until we finish … View full post

2 1

Replying to @luwyn

L

Luwyn @luwyn · May 27, 05:57 PM

@luwyn · May 27, 05:57 PM

SPY

The market is getting interesting. It has hit key technical points in succession. The yellow horizontal is yesterdays close. The red horizontal is yesterdays low. The white line is VWAP.

The opening … View full post

2

Replying to @luwyn

L

Luwyn @luwyn · May 27, 04:31 PM

@luwyn · May 27, 04:31 PM

SPY

The D1 and H4 charts show a divergence on MACD and RSI. The H1 and M30 are losing momentum with increasing speed. It looks like its up to the M5 today to set the pace for the higher time frames. This … View full post

2

Replying to @jack

L

Luwyn @luwyn · May 27, 08:02 AM

@luwyn · May 27, 08:02 AM

NVDA ≤210 NO

Strangely, the musical chairs can last a very long time. Sad to say that some of the best performing markings were Zimbabwe and Weimer Germany. Seems that in nominal terms, bad outcomes are good for n … View full post

6

Replying to @convexity

L

Luwyn @luwyn · May 27, 07:53 AM

@luwyn · May 27, 07:53 AM

Off Topic

Skyrim.
Elden Ring.

Borderlands is awesome. Destiny is great. I played a lot of text based Muds.

I have played Eve Online. I was a prolific trader in the game.

5 1

Replying to @peualgos

L

Luwyn @luwyn · May 27, 07:33 AM

@luwyn · May 27, 07:33 AM

Options & Volatility

I do not like covered calls nor any derivatives that simulate covered calls.

The reason why is that they have too much upside risk. There is too much risk that the price will increase and that I will … View full post

3